24 Nov

Thunder center nearing team debut with OKC in need of frontcourt boost

Oklahoma City Thunder center Isaiah Hartenstein’s return from injury appears to be imminent. After missing the first 15 games of the season with a broken left hand, Hartenstein has been upgraded to “questionable” for Wednesday’s game against the Portland Trail Blazers.

Hartenstein, 26, suffered what the team called a “small, non-displaced fracture” in his hand during a preseason game on Oct .15 and has been sidelined since. If he is able to make his regular-season and team debut for the Thunder on Wednesday, he will fill their glaring hole at center. Since Chet Holmgren broke his hip on Nov. 10, they have pivoted to full-time smallball: 6-foot-9 wing Ousmane Dieng is their only player taller than 6-foot-6 who has seen the floor, and Dieng has played a total of five minutes in their two most recent games. (Jaylin Williams, who stands 6-foot-9 and actually plays center, has been out with a hamstring strain all season.)

Oklahoma City landed Hartenstein in free agency last summer on a three-year, $87 million contract (with a team option on the final season). The appeal of the addition was obvious: he could solve their rebounding problem, make their defense even stronger and help them diversify their offense. Now, after starting the season 11-4 with the league’s best defense and second-best net rating, the Thunder can finally start figuring out exactly how Hartenstein fits in their system, albeit without Holmgren.

There may be an adjustment period as Hartenstein’s new teammates learn how to play off of him. Oklahoma City’s spacing will be a bit different with him on the court, and, since he’s one of the best passing bigs in the league, it will be able to create offense in ways that it could not previously. Don’t be surprised, though, if Hartenstein immediately makes the Thunder better on both ends, if only because he’ll get them some extra possessions and help them defend the interior without fouling. OKC ranks No. 26 in offensive rebounding percentage, No. 29 in defensive rebounding percentage and No. 28 in opponent free-throw rate.

If any part of this process proves challenging, it’ll probably be when Holmgren is back in the picture. The 22-year-old has almost exclusively played without another big on the floor during his time with the Thunder, so sharing the frontcourt with Hartenstein might not feel natural right away. Ideally, though, by the end of the season, Oklahoma City will have had plenty of reps with Hartenstein as the lone big, Holmgren as the lone big and the two of them together. At this point, the team has already played a lot more minutes without either of them than it would have preferred.

24 Nov

2024 NBA picks, Nov. 20 best bets from proven model

An Eastern Conference battle features the Milwaukee Bucks (5-9) hosting the Chicago Bulls (6-9) on Wednesday night. The Bulls beat the Detroit Pistons 122-112 on Sunday, snapping their two-game losing streak. After starting the season off 1-6, the Bucks have won three of their last four games. On Nov. 18, Milwaukee defeated the Houston Rockets 101-100 after Damian Lillard hit a go-ahead layup in the final seconds. Khris Middleton (ankle) remains out for Milwaukee, with Giannis Antetokounmpo (knee) listed as probable. Lonzo Ball (wrist) and Patrick Williams (foot) will be sidelined for the Bulls.

Tip-off from Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Milwaukee is an 8.5-point favorite in the latest Bucks vs. Bulls odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 239.5. Milwaukee is a -353 favorite (risk $353 to win $100) on the money line, while Chicago is at +281. Before locking in any Bulls vs. Bucks picks, make sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters Week 5 of the 2024-25 NBA season on a sizzling 109-74 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning more than $3,000. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has simulated Bulls vs. Bucks 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and NBA betting lines for Bucks vs. Bulls:

Bulls vs. Bucks spread: Milwaukee -8.5
Bulls vs. Bucks over/under: 239.5 points
Bulls vs. Bucks money line: Milwaukee -353, Chicago +281
CHI: 7-8 ATS this season
MIL: 4-9-1 ATS this season
Bulls vs. Bucks picks: See picks at SportsLine
Bulls vs. Bucks streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why the Bucks can cover
Forward Antetokounmpo is a dominant difference-maker in the frontcourt. Antetokounmpo uses his bruising strength to overpower defenders in the paint and plays relentless defense. The eight-time All-Star is first in the NBA in points (31.4), fourth in rebounds (12.4) and eighth in field percentage (60.1%). He has 12 double-doubles this season. In his last outing, Antetokounmpo had 20 points, 13 rebounds and three blocks.

Lillard has the ability to score from all three levels. Lillard owns a reliable jumper and finishes in traffic with ease. The eight-time All-Star is 12th in the league in points (25.3) and assists (6.9). He’s scored at least 30 points five times this season. On Nov. 7 versus the Jazz, he finished 34 points, seven assists and four threes. See who to back at SportsLine.

Why the Bulls can cover
Guard Zach LaVine is an athletic ball handler who creates his own shot from any spot on the floor. The 29-year-old logs a team-high 21.3 points, 5.3 rebounds and 4.1 assists per game. He’s scored at least 25 points in three of his last five matchups. In the win over the Pistons on Monday, LaVine dropped 25 points, six rebounds, five assists and shot 7-of-14 from downtown.

Center Nikola Vucevic provides Chicago with a playmaker in the frontcourt. Vucevic will be active on the glass and has a soft touch around the rim. He leads the team in rebounds (9.9) with 20.7 points per game. He’s also ninth in the NBA in field-goal percentage (59%). In his last outing, Vucevic tallied 29 points and 12 rebounds. This was his 10th double-double of the season. See who to back at SportsLine.

How to make Bulls vs. Bucks picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning Under the total, projecting 236 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s picks.

24 Nov

2024 NBA picks, Nov. 20 best bets by proven model

Teams trending in opposite directions meet when the New York Knicks battle the Phoenix Suns in a key NBA matchup on Wednesday night. New York is coming off a 134-106 win over Washington on Monday, while Phoenix dropped a 109-99 decision to Orlando that same night. The Knicks (8-6), who have won three in a row, are 3-4 on the road. The Suns (9-6), who have lost four straight, are 5-2 on their home court. Phoenix’s Kevin Durant (calf) and Bradley Beal (ankle) are out, while Jusuf Nurkic (ankle) is listed questionable. New York will be without Precious Achiuwa (hamstring), Miles McBride (knee) and Mitchell Robinson (ankle).

Tip-off from Footprint Center in Phoenix is set for 10 p.m. ET. The Suns lead the all-time regular-season series 72-66, and have won 10 of the past 12 meetings. The Knicks are 5-point favorites in the latest Suns vs. Knicks odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 222.5. New York is a -203 favorite (risk $203 to win $100) on the money line, with Phoenix the +169 underdog. Before making any Knicks vs. Suns picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters Week 5 of the 2024-25 NBA season on a sizzling 109-74 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning more than $3,000. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen huge returns.

The model has set its sights on Knicks vs. Suns and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Suns vs. Knicks:

Knicks vs. Suns spread: Knicks -5
Knicks vs. Suns over/under: 222.5 points
Knicks vs. Suns money line: Knicks -203, Suns +169
NY: The Knicks have hit the Over in 29 of their last 42 games (+14.70 units)
PHO: The Suns have hit the Under in 24 of their last 36 games at home (+11.90 units)
Knicks vs. Suns picks: See picks at SportsLine
Knicks vs. Suns streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why the Knicks can cover
Center Karl-Anthony Towns has registered four consecutive double-doubles and 11 on the year. In a 124-123 loss to the Chicago Bulls on Nov. 13, he poured in 46 points and added 10 rebounds. He scored 24 points and added 12 rebounds and three assists in 25 minutes of action in Monday’s win over Washington. In 13 starts, Towns is averaging 26.2 points, 12.4 rebounds and three assists in 32.9 minutes.

Point guard Jalen Brunson is also coming off a double-double. In the win over the Wizards, he scored 26 points and dished out 11 assists in 30 minutes of action. He had 12 points, 10 assists and five rebounds in a 114-104 win over the Brooklyn Nets on Sunday. In 14 starts, he is averaging 24.4 points, 7.1 assists and 2.9 rebounds in 34.2 minutes. See which team to pick here.

Why the Suns can cover
Shooting guard Devin Booker is one of six Phoenix players averaging double-digit scoring. In 15 starts, he is averaging 23.5 points, 6.5 assists, 3.7 rebounds and 1.1 steals in 36.7 minutes. Booker scored 44 points and added seven assists and six rebounds in a 120-117 loss at Minnesota on Sunday. He has posted two double-doubles on the year and has surpassed 40 points twice. In a 125-119 win over the Los Angeles Clippers on Oct. 31, he scored 40 points and added eight assists, five rebounds and three steals.

Point guard Tyus Jones is also a big part of the Phoenix offense. He posted his first double-double of the year in the win at Minnesota on Sunday with 13 points and 11 assists. He scored 18 points and dished out eight assists in Monday’s loss to Orlando. In 15 starts, he is averaging 11.1 points, 6.7 assists and 2.9 rebounds in 32.5 minutes. See which team to pick here.

How to make Knicks vs. Suns picks
The model has simulated Knicks vs. Suns 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 215 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits 60% of the time. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.